Asymmetric Signals

The highest conviction asymmetric
opportunities. Curated by AI.

Six fresh signals every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday — scored across sentiment, liquidity, insider activity, catalyst strength, and network effects. Stocks, crypto, real estate, and IPOs.

See this week's signals → How scoring works

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6 signals every Mon/Wed/Fri
5-dimension conviction scoring
Bear case on every signal
The problem

Most investment ideas aren't worth your time or capital

Tips, hot takes, and FOMO noise are everywhere. Genuine asymmetric opportunities are rare. MoonWatch finds them.

Random stock tips
No framework, no edge
✕No conviction framework — just gut feel
✕Buy or sell with no reasoning behind it
✕No bear case — downside never considered
✕No risk/reward clarity before you commit
Outcome: taking on undefined risk with no asymmetric edge.
vs
Asymmetric Signals
Scored, reasoned, and verified
✓Scored across 5 conviction dimensions
✓Upside vs downside always visible
✓Bear case on every signal — no surprises
✓Updated 3× per week with fresh opportunities
Outcome: clear risk/reward on every opportunity before you act.
How it works

How MoonWatch scores conviction

Every signal is run through five independent scoring dimensions — then combined into a single conviction score.

1
Sentiment Analysis
Social and news sentiment scored in real time across thousands of sources
2
Liquidity Intelligence
Institutional flow and smart money signals reveal where big capital is moving
3
Insider Activity
Corporate insider buying and selling patterns flag conviction before the market catches on
4
Catalyst Strength
Upcoming events that could force a repricing — earnings, FDA decisions, regulatory changes
5
Network Effects
Sector momentum and correlation signals show when a thesis is gaining or losing traction
What's included

Everything you need to act with conviction

Every signal ships with six outputs so you never have to go hunting for missing context.

🎯
Conviction Score
0–100 overall score across all 5 dimensions. One number that tells you how strong the asymmetric case is.
📝
Plain English Thesis
The asymmetric case in plain language — why the upside outweighs the downside, written so you can act on it.
⚠️
Bear Case
The single biggest risk to the thesis, always visible. Because knowing the downside is as important as knowing the upside.
🏦
Smart Money Layer
Liquidity score and Trap Setup detection on every signal. Institutional context automatically included.
⚖️
Upside vs Downside
Clear risk/reward ratio on every opportunity — Conservative, Base, and Bull case return scenarios.
📅
Fresh 3× Per Week
New signals every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. Never stale — always based on current market data.
Simple, transparent pricing

Two plans. One platform.

Founding Member pricing — locked in for life. Start free, upgrade anytime.

$14
/ mo
Starter
reg $19/mo
✓ Access to this product
✓ Core features included
✓ Weekly signal recap
✓ Signal alerts
✓ 14-day free trial
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$34
/ mo
Pro
reg $49/mo
✓ Everything in Starter
✓ Full Smart Money analysis
✓ Unlimited Is This Asymmetric?
✓ All Scanner presets
✓ Portfolio Monitor alerts
✓ Freedom Number tracking
✓ Priority features
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For informational and research purposes only. MoonWatch does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. The signals, scores, and AI-generated analysis are for research purposes only. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past signal performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.